Depends on if there’s anyone left in the US govt who’d be interested in upholding all that stuff about not exporting top tier AI server components to geopolitical rivals I’d guess.

Imo I can see both outcomes: Trump and Nvidia pulling strings and bending the rules to keep Huang in for the sake of the markets/protecting Trump’s precious ‘SI’ companies, and Trump getting pissed because of selling to China/GOP using him as a scapegoat and having him forcefully resign

this was just a screenshot I took. post on a different sub about the same thing

Gary Marcus piece on the affair for further reading

Got another sneer in while looking at r/BetterOffline

Nvidia Opens Investigation Into Jensen Huang’s Relationship With Chinese Spy

so uhh I take it thats not very good news for Nvidia

Anthropic’s IPO roadshow could potentially start this week the ‘before thanksgiving’ due date is still in place

Yes.

ECI is the benchmark measurement from Epoch AI, and AECI is benchmark measurement from Anthropic

I looked again, and it seems they just flat out deleted every other ECI measurement except for Astra

Here’s what it looked like then

and heres what it looks like now

Which is suspect because all of those ECI measurements were behind pace

I looked through their methodology page (https://github.com/spicylemonade/AI-2027-tracker/blob/master/docs/methodology.md) and the only reason I can find is that AECI fits METR better, and that “The three ECI variants are too close to separate on 12 tests, so the chart keeps the simplest one.” Yet they say that ECI and AECI cannot be compared, so why keep Astra and get rid of all the other? They kept in multiple different models for Opus and Mythos, so why remove GPT 5.4 Pro, Sol and Opus’s ECI? Also shows that the website had AI slop assistance via Claude

AI 2027 tracker has updated again

-On the main page chart, they decided to map the Anthropic unreleased models from the METR report for some reason. Setting aside how mapping unreleased models is inherently flawed because we don’t have the full picture, the METR report also said that their measurements come with a high uncertainty

Onto the list of predictions

-Late 2026 is at 84%

-Still doing that weird thing where 80% is both partially accurate and confirmed accurate

-The stock market prediction should be lower, since it didn’t get anywhere near 30%

-Imo the AI narrative prediction should also be lower, since theres conflicting reports about AI being amazing/AI being trash all over mainstream news

-One prediction got a 100% score even though part of it didn’t happen (under OpenBrain releases Agent 1 mini: “The part that did not happen is OpenBrain blowing away the competition: several labs shipped cheap, near-frontier models within weeks of each other.”)

-The key metrics seem to be mostly based on estimates rather than confirmed figures, so likely subject to change

Overall seems like they got a lot of ‘easy’ stuff right (ie business gurus shilling AI) but missed the harder stuff

deleted by creator

Anthropic employee has had their brain destroyed by rationalist circlejerk

‘we need to make armageddon happen as fast as possible even though I dont think it will be very good. a trillion dollars please’

They’re still in hot water with all those data centre restrictions becoming popular

not really

“our IPO will be supported by the people we are forcing to buy it’ is definitely a vote of confidence and not at all ominous

Sharing a gem from r/BetterOffline

“The next Google is dancing naked in front of you. If you can’t see the value of it, you don’t deserve to make money.” For the first and hopefully last time: Dario Amodei, please put your willy away

At the Financial Times Future of AI Summit, the AI vendors were shocked that nobody likes them. They don’t really understand the objections — one CEO compared data center protestors to protests against masks for COVID.

Utterly ridiculous people who are now getting the wake up to reality they deserve

Anthropic is going ahead with their IPO

This is looking like its going to be a bloody disaster but if the world wants to feed my schadenfreude by all means keep it coming

Struck some gold on slobstack

state bans only slow AI progress by 9 days at the absolute most pessimistic.

I don’t know, I think that’s insanely optimistic

especially “Noosphere89” smugly stating that datacenters will just move somewhere else

there’s no fucking way people will happily accept data centres near them after Big Tech has so happily made clear that they’re on the side of MAGA and fascism