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Joined 5 months ago
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Cake day: May 7th, 2024

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  • Haha yeah, good bit.

    I just wanted to be clear that just because we’re both going to deny the election results if we lose doesn’t mean we’re at all similar in other regards.

    Sorry if I was a little defensive. Lot of “BWAH I DONT LIKE THIS” in the comments but zero “Actually I think we’ll just say ‘Well done Donnie, enjoy being president. See you in four years.’. Not even “Well if HE wins then it actually WILL have been rigged so of course we’ll call it that.”. All " boo” no content





  • Heh, fair. I do think 9999/10,000 is about right but I don’t know you enough to trust you enough to make odds.

    Tell you what. One sided free money bet. If you claim WMP will just say “Well, guess we lost this one” and not say the race was rigged (is this your claim? You still haven’t claimed it yet I think) I’ll come back in November with a post titled “CoggyMcFee I’m Calling You Out!” linking this post.

    If Biden wins, so much the better for the world. If GOP doesn’t accept it we’re both winners, no trade. If GOP accepts it we’re both losers, no trade.

    If Trump wins, God help us, and WMP just says “Congratulations, hope we win next time” I’ll give $500 to your favorite charity, or half that to anyone I can’t write off, yourself included.

    If Trump wins and WMP says the election was rigged, well, you haven’t agreed to anything and owe me nothing. If you feel honor bound, my charity is OSI the Open Space Institute.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction_market

    If I forget call my ass out. If Trump wins frankly we have bigger problems but I’ll pay.



  • Not sure “lecturing” is accurate but sure, I’ll allow it.

    For the record, is it your claim that if Trump wins, we will just accept it as the results of a free and fair election? Just “Welp, guess the voters were in your favor this time Donnie. Good game. We’ll try to bring it in four years!” right?

    Also for the record we agree that Trump could get no states and 30% of the popular vote and still say it was fixed and he should have won right? Honestly that’s the result I predict most likely so the experiment will likely be of no value. Just saying.












  • Someone was asking about whether people would rather see a person or a bear in the woods. Bears are probably harmless but if not they’re deadly. People are probably annoying, but that’s the worst reasonable case. It was low odds high cost v high odds low cost.

    Then some people used it to do a sexism.

    Then some other people went “nuh uh” and did a counter sexism.

    Current status is opposing directions of sexism in an arms race. Currently it seems the boys are worse than the girls, but girls have patience so we’ll see.